Author Topic: Halalan 2022  (Read 994 times)

adroth

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Halalan 2022
« on: May 01, 2022, 11:58:26 AM »
Monday, May 9, 2022

adroth

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Re: Halalan 2022
« Reply #1 on: May 02, 2022, 11:43:55 PM »
The home stretch

April 2022 Nationwide Survey on the May 2022 Elections

https://www.pulseasia.ph/april-2022-nationwide-survey-on-the-may-2022-elections/

Pulse Asia Research, Inc. is pleased to share with you some findings on the May 2022 Elections from the April 2022 Pulso ng Bayan Pre-Electoral national survey. We request you to assist us in informing the public by disseminating this information.

The survey fieldwork was conducted from April 16 – 21, 2022 using face-to-face interviews. This nationwide survey is based on a sample of 2,400 representative adults 18 years old and above, who are registered voters and likely to vote in the May 2022 elections. It has a ± 2% error margin at the 95% confidence level.  Subnational estimates for each of the geographic areas covered in the survey (i.e., Metro Manila, the rest of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao) have a ± 4% error margin, also at 95% confidence level. Those interested in further technical details may refer to our website (www.pulseasia.ph)

The following are among the key developments that took place in the weeks prior to and during the conduct of the interviews for the April 2022 pre-electoral survey of Pulse Asia Research:

1. Metro Manila and 60 other areas across the country were placed under COVID-19 Alert Level 1 from 01-15 April 2022, later extended to 30 April 2022. Six (6) local government units (LGUs) – all in Metro Manila – experienced an increase in the number of active COVID-19 cases from 12 to 18 April 2022, according to the Department of Health (DOH). The agency warned that the decline in compliance with minimum public health standards under Alert Level 1 could result in about 35,000 active cases by election day. The DOH also recommended that safety officers be assigned to polling areas across the country to ensure strict compliance with safety protocols.

Senators rejected DOH Secretary Francisco Duque’s proposal to make COVID-19 vaccination mandatory since it is unreasonable to require the public to get vaccinated just because there are 27 million vaccine doses expiring in July 2022. Senate President Vicente Sotto III pointed out that by making vaccination mandatory, the DOH is only passing on to lawmakers the problem of continued reluctance on the part of people to get their COVID-19 vaccines or booster shots.

The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in the country approved the administration of second booster shots against COVID-19 to senior citizens, immunocompromised individuals, and frontline healthcare workers. Second booster shorts may be given at least four (4) months after the first booster. However, the giving of second booster shots is on hold until the Health Technology Assessment Council (HTAC) has given its final recommendation.

2. 0n 20 April 2022, the First Division of the Commission on Elections (COMELEC) dismissed the last petition seeking to disqualify former Senator Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. from the May 2022 presidential election. The petition argued that the former lawmaker is disqualified from running for president due to his conviction for violating the National Internal Revenue Code (NIRC) by the Quezon City Regional Trial Court (QCRTC) in 1995. The COMELEC First Division explained that the case against former Senator Marcos does not fall under tax evasion and although he failed to pay his tax liability, he did not do so willfully.

In a related matter, various groups have called on the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) to collect the P 203 billion estate tax that the Marcos family still has to pay. Although the BIR said that it already sent a claim letter to the Marcoses in December 2021, the tax liability still remains unpaid. Likewise, President Rodrigo R. Duterte asked the BIR to explain why it has failed to collect the estate tax of the Marcos family. 

3. In a press conference held on 17 April 2022, three (3) presidential candidates and two (2) vice-presidential bets declared that they will not withdraw from the coming elections. Manila Mayor Francisco Domagoso even went as far as to call on Vice-President Maria Leonor G. Robredo to make the ultimate sacrifice by withdrawing from the presidential race. Senator Panfilo Lacson and former Department of National Defense (DND) Secretary Norberto Gonzales, although present during the press conference, distanced themselves from the Manila Mayor’s withdrawal call. Senator Emmanuel Pacquiao, who was supposed to attend the press conference but failed to do so, also rejected the withdrawal call.

4. Although President Duterte has not yet endorsed any presidential candidate for the coming elections, he endorsed 17 senatorial candidates during the grand proclamation rally of the Partido Demokratiko Pilipino-Lakas ng Bayan (PDP-Laban) in Cebu on 31 March 2022. Those endorsed by the President come not only from PDP-Laban but also from the Nationalist People’s Coalition (NPC) and the UniTeam coalition, as well as an independent candidate.

Senator Lacson resigned as chairperson and member of the Partido Reporma on 24 March 2022 shortly before the party’s president and other party leaders announced they would shift their support to Vice-President Robredo in the May 2022 elections. Despite this, the lawmaker remains in the presidential race but as an independent candidate. Meanwhile, former Senator Marcos was endorsed by the PDP-Laban wing led by Department of Energy (DOE) Secretary Alfonso Cusi and the National Unity Party (NUP).

5. During a trip to Quezon, Bukidnon on 19 April 2022, Bukluran ng Manggagawang Pilipino (BMP) Chairperson Leodegario de Guzman nearly got hit as security guards of a pineapple plantation where he was visiting an indigenous community fired on the group. The standard-bearer of the Partido Lakas ng Masa (PLM) and two (2) senatorial candidates were in the area to visit members of the Manobo-Pulangihon community who were attempting to occupy a portion of their claimed ancestral domain within the plantation. Malacañang condemned the incident and called for an investigation into the shooting.

6. COMELEC Commissioner Socorro Inting resigned as head of the poll body’s Committee on the Ban on Firearms and Security Concerns (CBFSC) on 12 April 2022 following the approval of COMELEC Resolution No. 10777 that gives COMELEC Chairperson Saidaman Pangarungan blanket authority to grant exemptions to the gun ban. COMELEC Commissioner Inting resigned because her post has been rendered redundant by the approval of the said resolution via a vote of 4-3. Additionally, the resolution also grants the COMELEC Chairperson the authority to place election hotspots under the poll body’s control.

7. The COMELEC completed the printing of 67.4 million ballots to be used for the May 2022 national and local elections on 02 April 2022. Of this total, 319,138 ballots will still undergo further evaluation and checking while 178,999 will be reprinted as they are considered defective. The poll body has also started deploying vote-counting machines and other equipment to be used on election day.

The Overseas Absentee Voting (OAV), which began on 10 April 2022, got off to a rocky start with complaints of pre-shaded ballots, lack of vote-counting machines (VCMs), misspelled names on ballots, and voters receiving more than one ballot. Bayan Muna Party-List lawmakers called for an investigation into these claims to prevent the “massive disenfranchisement of overseas voters”.

In the meantime, on 19 April 2022, COMELEC Chairperson Pangarungan disclosed to the Senate Electoral Reforms and People’s Participation Committee that the poll body has withheld the third tranche of its payment to Smartmatic, a total of P 90 million. This is due to the alleged data breach in January 2022 that was traced to a contractual employee of Smartmatic. The payment will be released to Smartmatic once the COMELEC is convinced that it is not involved in the data breach.

8. President Duterte vetoed the Subscriber Identify Module (SIM) Card Registration Act that requires the registration of SIM cards and social media accounts to deter electronic communication-aided crimes. The President expressed concern over the inclusion of a provision covering social media accounts in the mandated registration as this might threaten the people’s rights under the 1987 Philippine Constitution.  On the other hand, a 10-point policy agenda that seeks to fast-track the country’s economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic was signed by the President on 21 March 2022. Among others, the plan prioritizes strengthening health care capacity, expanding the COVID-19 vaccination program, and further reopening the country’s economy.

9. Following the release of Dr. Raquel Fortun’s initial findings of her postmortem examination of 46 victims killed in the Duterte administration’s anti-illegal drugs campaign, Department of Justice (DOJ) Secretary Menardo Guevarra said the government panel tasked to look into President Duterte’s “war on drugs” will investigate the alleged fraudulent death certificates of some of those killed in the operations. According to Dr. Fortun, the doctors who signed such death certificates should be held accountable for their actions.

10. On 27 March 2022, the Philippine Coast Guard reported a “close distance maneuvering” incident with a Chinese vessel in the Scarborough Shoal, part of the disputed territories in the West Philippine Sea. As a result of the incident, President Duterte and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to “exercise restraint” and “exert all efforts” to maintain peace, security, and stability in the region.

11. Tropical Storm (TS) Agaton, which made its first landfall in the country on 10 April 2022 in Eastern Samar, left as many as 224 dead, 147 missing, more than 100,000 in evacuation centers, damages to agriculture amounting to P 2.3 billion and to infrastructure totaling P 1.45 billion, according to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC). Prior to TS Agaton, a low pressure area (LPA) caused massive flooding in the Davao Region. At the height of the flooding on 06 April 2022, the Davao City Disaster Risk Reduction Management Office (DCDRRMCO) reported that 2,064 families were evacuated to safer ground. The Davao de Oro provincial government declared a state of calamity on 08 April 2022 due to the extensive damage caused by the LPA.

12. On economic and financial matters, after two (2) consecutive price rollbacks, oil prices went up again on 19 April 2022 – gasoline at P 0.45/liter, diesel at P 1.70/liter, and kerosene at P 0.45/liter. Global oil supply remained tight due to the continuing Russia-Ukraine war. The April 2022 electric bills of customers of the Manila Electric Company (Meralco) goes up by 53.63 centavos per kilowatt-hour (kWh) due to the higher cost of electricity from independent power producers and the Wholesale Electricity Spot Market (WESM). The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) disclosed that the national inflation rate went up from 3.0% in February 2022 to 4.0% in March 2022, the highest since October 2021. The rise in the prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages, housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels, and transport resulted in the increase in the overall inflation rate. The petition for an across-the-board minimum wage increase in the amount of P 470 was rejected by the Regional Tripartite Wages and Productivity Board (RTWPB) on 22 March 2022. The latter dismissed the petition, filed by the Trade Union Congress of the Philippines (TUCP), on the grounds that it falls outside its jurisdiction.

Pulse Asia Research’s pool of academic fellows takes full responsibility for the design and conduct of the survey, as well as for analyses it makes based on the survey data. In keeping with our academic nature, no religious, political, economic, or partisan group influenced any of these processes.  Pulse Asia Research undertakes pre-election surveys on its own without any party singularly commissioning the research effort.

For any clarification or questions, kindly contact Ana Maria Tabunda, Research Director of Pulse Asia Research at 09189436816 or Ronald D. Holmes, Pulse Asia Research President via Viber or Telegram at +639189335497 or at ronald.holmes@gmail.com (via email).

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adroth

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Re: Halalan 2022
« Reply #2 on: May 08, 2022, 12:01:18 PM »
https://twitter.com/elmer_cato/status/1523074826352607232

Since this morning, @PHinNewYork has been feeding ballots that have been coming in from all over the US northeast. More ballots are expected to arrive by mail or delivered personally by kababayan in the next two days.



adroth

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Re: Halalan 2022
« Reply #4 on: May 10, 2022, 12:05:40 AM »

adroth

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Re: Halalan 2022
« Reply #5 on: May 10, 2022, 05:51:51 AM »