Third Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey: Net Trust in Rody Duterte rises to "Very Good" +62by Social Weather Stations | Oct 27, 2018 11:59:39 AM
https://www.sws.org.ph/swsmain/artcldisppage/?artcsyscode=ART-20181027115939The Third Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey, conducted from September 15-23, 2018, found 74% adult Filipinos with much trust, 14% undecided, and 12% with little trust in Rody Duterte [Chart 1, Table 1].
This gives a net trust rating of +62 (% much trust minus % little trust), classified by SWS as very good. This is a 5-point increase from the very good +57 in June 2018.
In the nine SWS surveys following his inauguration as President, from September 2016 to September 2018, Duterte's net trust rating was excellent in five and very good in four.
This gives an average net trust rating of very good +68 so far during his presidency.
Net trust in Duterte was a moderate +16 when SWS first surveyed it in December 2015, and stayed at moderate levels up to the March 30-April 2, 2016 survey.
It rose to a good +30 in April 2016, and declined to a moderate +26 in the May 1-3, 2016 survey, just before the May 9, 2016 elections. It rose to a personal record-high of an excellent +79 in June 24-27, 2016, just days before his inauguration on June 30, 2016, for an average net trust rating of very good +30 before his presidency.
The SWS terminology for Net Trust Ratings: +70 and above, "excellent"; +50 to +69, "very good"; +30 to +49, "good"; +10 to +29, "moderate", +9 to -9, "neutral"; -10 to -29, "poor"; -30 to -49, "bad"; -50 to -69, "very bad"; -70 and below, "execrable". SWS considers the movement from one classification to another as either an "upgrade" or "downgrade.
Net trust in PRRD rises in Metro Manila and Balance Luzon
The 5-point increase in Rody Duterte’s overall net trust rating from June 2018 to September 2018 was due to increases in Metro Manila and Balance Luzon, combined with steady scores in the Visayas and Mindanao.
Net trust in Duterte rose by one grade from good to very good in Metro Manila, up by 9 points from +42 (61% satisfied, 19% dissatisfied) in June 2018 to +51 (66% satisfied, 15% dissatisfied) in September 2018 [Chart 2].
It stayed very good in Balance Luzon, up by 10 points from +50 (62% much trust, 13% little trust, correctly rounded) in June to +60 (72% much trust, 13% little trust, correctly rounded) in September.
It stayed at good +49 in the Visayas from June (68% satisfied, 19% dissatisfied) to September (67% satisfied, 18% dissatisfied).
It stayed excellent in Mindanao, hardly moving from +88 (90% much trust, 3% little trust, correctly rounded) in June to +86 (88% much trust, 3% little trust, correctly rounded) in September.
Very good net trust across educational levels
Net trust in Rody Duterte stayed very good among elementary graduates, up by 8 points from +56 (66% much trust, 10% little trust) in June 2018 to +64 (75% much trust, 11% little trust) in September 2018 [Chart 3].
It stayed very good among non-elementary graduates, up by 6 points from +55 (72% much trust, 17% little trust) in June to +61 (76% much trust, 15% little trust) in September.
It stayed very good among high school graduates, up by 5 points from +56 (69% much trust, 13% little trust) in June to +61 (72% much trust, 11% little trust) in September.
It stayed at very good +64 among college graduates from June (76% much trust, 12% little trust) to September (74% much trust, 11% little trust, correctly rounded).
Lower satisfaction with PRRD among those who distrust him
The SWS survey question on trust rating differs from the satisfaction rating as the former gauges public trust in a personality as a whole, while the latter asks about public satisfaction with an individual's performance related to his/her position or duty.
Compared to June 2018, net satisfaction with Pres. Duterte rose among those with much trust in him, and among those who are undecided about their trust in him, while it became less negative among those with little trust in him.
Pres. Duterte’s net satisfaction rating stayed excellent among those with much trust in him, up by 2 points from +71 (80% satisfied, 9% dissatisfied) in June 2018 to +73 (81% satisfied, 8% dissatisfied) in September 2018 [Chart 4].
It stayed moderate among those who were undecided about their trust, up by 10 points from +11 (41% satisfied, 29% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in June to +21 (46% satisfied, 25% dissatisfied) in September.
It became less negative, from bad to poor, among those with little trust in him, up by 17 points from -45 (21% satisfied, 66% dissatisfied) in June to -28 (29% satisfied, 57% dissatisfied) in September.
The Third Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey findings on the satisfaction rating of Pres. Duterte were reported on 29 September 2018.
The SWS terminology for Net Satisfaction Ratings: +70 and above, “excellent”; +50 to +69, “very good”; +30 to +49, “good”; +10 to +29, “moderate”, +9 to –9, “neutral”; –10 to
–29, “poor”; –30 to –49, “bad”; –50 to –69, “very bad”; –70 and below, “execrable”.
Net trust in past Presidents during their incumbency
From the SWS surveys of October 1989 and April 1992, Corazon Aquino obtained an average net trust of good +33 [Chart 5, Table 2].
On the other hand, Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo obtained a moderate +27 in February 2004.
Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino obtained an average net trust of very good +59 from September 2011 to June 2016.
The trust ratings of Fidel Ramos and Joseph Estrada were not surveyed by SWS during their presidency.
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