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Messages - Juramentado

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At 20-25 knots based on the wake, the frigate never had a chance to maneuver clear. If you look at plan views, the only mount that could have engaged the boat was a midships 40mm. I don't believe in the original design that these were stabilized weapons. At 120 RoF, it's a bit slow to put out enough rounds to catch the target. A 25mm at 200 RoF would have been better.

Remember that the attack is only one of several. Where were the other two boats (?) in the swarm attack at the time? Were they being engaged by the mounts and the third managed to slip in?

United States of America / Re: USAF’s T-X trainer program
« on: February 10, 2017, 12:49:34 AM »
Leonardo is back in the race one more time, with US subsidiary DRS:

Italian aerospace company Leonardo is back in the running to bid on the U.S. Air Force’s T-X trainer jet competition after it separated from a joint venture with Raytheon Co., the company announced Wednesday.

“Leonardo is proud to confirm its participation in the U.S. Air Force T-X competition with its T-100 integrated training system,” it said in a release. “Leonardo will leverage its U.S. company, Leonardo DRS, as the prime contractor, bringing to bear Leonardo’s leading aeronautical and simulation expertise to deliver a fully integrated solution in the best interests of the Air Force.”

The company further stated the “T-100 will be a U.S.-based program that will bring significant economic benefits to the country through a newly established and skilled U.S. workforce, in addition to the technological and industrial capabilities embedded in newly built U.S.-based manufacturing facilities.”

The T-100 is based on Leonardo’s M-346 twin-engine trainer aircraft.

Submarines and ASW / Re: AW-159 Wildcat Naval Helicopters
« on: February 10, 2017, 12:42:23 AM »
With the delivery to RoKN, PN's order must have made some progress to completion.

General Discussion / Re: About FA-50 hardpoints
« on: February 10, 2017, 12:41:30 AM »
That's a much better photo than the night one that was taken down.

I thought the ship was modernized to handle this kind of threats. They are armed with 40mm small caliber guns..

or Someone is sleeping on the job aboard the ship. How can ship, newly modernized on that, wasn't able to detect this boats?

either they turned off something there (detection equipment) or they are just plain stupid complacent that no one's gonna touch them...

The ship's original weapons fit did not have a strong layered Anti-ship capability. The presence of 40mms doesn't necessarily impart a strong small boat defense. USS Cole was the redefining moment for many navies to rethink ship's self-defense force capabilities. While the caliber is right, it needs to have an EO/IR local mount, and tied back into the combat system of the ship.

The RSN historically has not shared the outcomes of previous investigations into peace and war-time incidents, so there's no reason to expect any further transparency here. Other factors include manning, watch and condition readiness. To your point, were they asleep at the wheel?

The vessel class supposedly received an upgrade in 2013 from BAE - one of the improvements was supposedly bolstering the anti-ship defense, but no details were ever published, nor could I find news that the upgrades were completed.

General Discussion / Re: US arms depots in the PH?
« on: February 03, 2017, 10:08:29 AM »
There are no nuclear weapons on USN ships.

"It is U.S. policy to neither confirm nor deny the presence or absence of nuclear weapons at any general or specific location.”

“It is general U.S. policy not to deploy nuclear weapons with ground units, or aboard surface ships, attack submarines, or aircraft.  However, we do not discuss the presence or absence of nuclear weapons aboard specific ships, submarines, or aircraft.”

"The basis for the security requirement inherent in the U.S. policy of neither confirming nor denying the presence or absence of nuclear weapons is DoDI 5230.16, October 6, 2015 to deny militarily useful information to potential or actual enemies, enhance the effectiveness of nuclear deterrence, and contribute to the security of nuclear weapons, especially against the threats of sabotage and terrorism.”

In other words, yes, there is always the possibility that one or more nuclear weapons are aboard a US asset at any given time. In any case, the mention and  characterization of "nuclear tips" is an inaccurate representation of how the US would distribute, store or otherwise deploy special weapons to COCOMs.

General Discussion / Re: Rebooting US-PH communications
« on: February 02, 2017, 06:18:27 AM »
No need for thanks. This was a business deal under FMS.

Note what's in that package:

Sniper rifles

What's being sought repeatedly by Duterte from Russia and China?

Business can be done. Someone mention it to him.

The Houthis claim it was an AShM. The RSN claims it was a small boat swarm.

The RSN didn't take to heart previous attacks on traffic in the region. For this kind of environment, you need to push out your triplines - where before you let a fishing boat inside of a 1,000 yards, CPA, now it's 5,000 before you start radio warnings.

Drones are helpful in high trafficked zones. You don't put unnecessary wear and tear on your manned aviation detachment. You could easily launch and recover them especially if they're VTOL and run multiple units simultaneously.

The use of observers nearby to record the attack is a threat indicator. Look around hard; sort out the traffic. Is that boat new looking? Are they in the middle of a beat up fishing fleet? Does it match the markings of everyone else? This is where localized MDA is valuable. Knowing traffic patterns and if the vessel is new to the area helps focus the attention on potential threats.

General Discussion / Re: US arms depots in the PH?
« on: February 02, 2017, 06:04:10 AM »
If nuclear arms (most likely "shapes" or gravity free fall bombs) were ever stored in the Philippines, it would have to have been when Clark and Subic were wholly operated and occupied  US only facilities. Otherwise they would be stored in ship's magazines or other bases known to have such depots because they're documented transit and arming stations such as Anderson in Guam.

In any case, the plan under EDCA was to preposition stores. Take that for what you will. Currently, it's HADR materials. Has anyone even seen the depots? If it's a bunch of CONEXes, they don't constitute enough storage or protection for anything more than body armor and small-arms. You wouldn't store aircraft or vehicle munitions there - temperature unstable and no security other than the door lock. Given the low point in relations, plus accountability rules, the US would not be inclined to leave anything lethal in a low security zone that they did not have full control over.

General Discussion / Re: FA-50PH's first combat mission?
« on: January 28, 2017, 02:18:47 AM »
Seems like something hit Hapilon. The report reads as if they were observing remotely - possibly drone support. Too bad it wasn't an armed drone; they could have finished him off.

Abu Sayyaf Group leader Isnilon Hapilon has been seriously wounded as military artillery pounded suspected bandit hideouts in Butig, Lanao Del Sur.

No less than AFP chief of staff General Eduardo Año confirmed the report to GMA News' Jun Veneracion.

"May tama siya... grabe," Año was quoted as saying on "24 Oras" Friday.

An excerpt of a military report said Hapilon had been observed to be weakening and even lost consciousness several times.

It added that Hapilon was being carried by four persons.

Indonesia / Re: Airbus A400M acquisition
« on: January 23, 2017, 04:20:29 AM »
Less competition for the A400 now that C-17 is out of production.

General Discussion / Re: Unexploded WWII bomb found in Surigao
« on: January 21, 2017, 09:43:14 AM »
The immediate concern that should be addressed is to teach people not to move UXO. They moved it to a garage then called for help. Imagine what the damage footprint would have been like on a crowded street during transit.

General Discussion / Re: Duterte: I rejected Japan missile offer
« on: January 17, 2017, 11:32:56 PM »
Then they'll want to avoid looking too closely while window-shopping in Moscow. Per Globalsecurity numbers, crosschecked with some missile databases, the average cost of a Bastion P based on the Syrian buy was around 300M USD. Assuming a reasonable breakout that the sensor launchers/tracks and associated hardware makes up about 40% of the cost, that makes it out to be about 5M USD per missile. Within the ballpark. Defense aint cheap, or free. (TM)

War on Drugs / Re: Duterte's War on Drugs
« on: January 08, 2017, 03:53:43 AM »
It's simple. Under State Department regulations which are implemented *jointly* by the DOD and State - there are vetting requirements that the end-user nation must meet regarding Human Rights controls in order to receive said FMA/FMS. In fact, the GAO has argued for years that those controls are inadequate depending upon who the recipient is. Eqypt is a perfect example.

Note my last sentence. It implies that whoever is in Office in Washington has the ability to strongly influence how that aid is delivered vis-a-vis HR monitoring and record of the end-user. Obama's administration AND Congress sent clear messages to Malacanang that they believe the Drug Campaign is contributing directly to the reported loss of life.

Just look at how Sen. Ben Cardin was able to throw the entire SIG-Sauer sale to the PNP in doubt with one single press release. Now imagine when State Department actually implements sanctions - at an agency level - against a nation state. They've done so in the past. They can then use the DOD's DCSA program to limit the release of or the shape of future and current aid.

I don't know why people think this is so implausible. It happens all the time. Here's a running list of Defense Trade embargos, updated regularly and by Fed reg violated:

Two units were ordered because Andres Bonifacio wasn't on deck yet as an EDA asset. The analysis took at least six months by US NAVSEA to determine best options for the GDP class in terms of sensor fit. I'm curious to know if they came to any conclusions about covered comms and TDL. That would mostly complete the gaps in interoperability. The other less likely piece is EW, since that's a lot of sensitivity around the threat libraries.

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